Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 2.893332e-05 3.456675e-05 0.000041 0.000048 0.000056 0.000064 0.000074
2025-03-09 2.040633e-05 2.733449e-05 0.000035 0.000045 0.000057 0.000071 0.000088
2025-03-16 1.511734e-05 2.252697e-05 0.000032 0.000044 0.000059 0.000077 0.000100
2025-03-23 1.164800e-05 1.920848e-05 0.000029 0.000043 0.000061 0.000084 0.000113
2025-03-30 8.925717e-06 1.631141e-05 0.000027 0.000042 0.000063 0.000089 0.000124
2025-04-06 6.675730e-06 1.361126e-05 0.000024 0.000040 0.000063 0.000092 0.000133
2025-04-13 4.664015e-06 1.081098e-05 0.000021 0.000037 0.000060 0.000092 0.000137
2025-04-20 3.474247e-06 9.104788e-06 0.000019 0.000035 0.000060 0.000095 0.000145
2025-04-27 2.720666e-06 8.010357e-06 0.000018 0.000035 0.000062 0.000100 0.000155
2025-05-04 2.255517e-06 7.376284e-06 0.000017 0.000036 0.000065 0.000106 0.000168
2025-05-11 2.116023e-06 7.427929e-06 0.000018 0.000038 0.000071 0.000118 0.000188
2025-05-18 1.768595e-06 6.893664e-06 0.000018 0.000039 0.000073 0.000124 0.000201
2025-05-25 1.054609e-06 5.259490e-06 0.000015 0.000036 0.000071 0.000125 0.000208
2025-06-01 6.310118e-07 4.136381e-06 0.000014 0.000034 0.000071 0.000129 0.000219
2025-06-08 3.728609e-07 3.317048e-06 0.000012 0.000033 0.000072 0.000133 0.000231
2025-06-15 2.202242e-07 2.730925e-06 0.000011 0.000032 0.000073 0.000139 0.000246
2025-06-22 1.149944e-07 2.182292e-06 0.000010 0.000031 0.000073 0.000144 0.000259
2025-06-29 4.798490e-08 1.659112e-06 0.000009 0.000030 0.000073 0.000146 0.000269
2025-07-06 1.136998e-08 1.130260e-06 0.000008 0.000027 0.000070 0.000145 0.000273
2025-07-13 2.171472e-09 8.401517e-07 0.000007 0.000026 0.000070 0.000148 0.000283
2025-07-20 2.512659e-10 6.688289e-07 0.000006 0.000026 0.000071 0.000153 0.000298
2025-07-27 1.016239e-11 5.764661e-07 0.000006 0.000026 0.000074 0.000162 0.000317
2025-08-03 1.402107e-12 5.908550e-07 0.000006 0.000028 0.000080 0.000177 0.000347